Thursday, January 3, 2008

Thoughts on Iowa

Such a huge night...I expected a Huckabee win, but I thought it would be close...9 points! Wow...the work is not over yet. There is a debate this weekend in New Hampshire and expect Mitt Romney to pull out the longest of the long knives for not only Huckabee, but also McCain. He has nothing to lose, has already gone negative, and has repeatedly shown he has absolutely NO regard for truth or honesty or personal integrity when it comes to winning elections. But, I trust Mike Huckabee. He has shined in debates thus far, and I think he will continue to do so this weekend.

The big Obama win will really shake up things on Tuesday. Will independents flock to him, or will they go to the old standby of John McCain? Will Rudy's non-presence (in hindsight, possibly a fatal move) combined with Huckabee's big win push Huck into a strong 3rd in NH? Hillary is on the ropes and Republicans have finally realized we don't need "America's Mayor" to take her down.

I think we see a close McCain victory in NH on Tuesday and a stronger than expected third for Huckabee. The questions will arise louder as to whether or not Romney can maintain any type of momentum at all. Michigan is the next big contest and McCain has been strong there in the past. Huckabee actually has an insignificant lead there already so that will be a McCain/Huck battle for first. SC is next, where the faded Thompson hopes to make his last stand, if he even stays in the race that long. Huckabee will win SC versus McCain and with two, possibly three wins under his belt, should beat Giuliani in Florida at the end of the month.

This victory tonight is a great one, but it is only the first battle...the war is not won yet...although the path become a bit clearer...

**Oh, and watch the money ticker at the top of this blog...it was at $60k at caucus time...over $130,000 as of this posting!!!

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